The nuclear ambitions of the Islamic regime in Theran is causing a great deal of disquiet amongst the Europeans and of course, the USA. Iran has learnt an important lesson from the exprience of Iraq. In 1981 Israel with the tacit support of the Reagan Administration bombed the Osirak Reactor therby indicating to the world that the West will not permit an Islamic country to possess nuclear weapons. Iran is following the policy of distributing its nuclear facilities over a wide area making the areal strike option impossible.Further, with oil prices sky rocektting, any more instability in the Middle East will have an adverse impact on Western economies.
The IAEA is extremely fair in its assessment. We have to remember that Dr Hans Blix, in spite of sustained pressure did not give in and reported to the UN Security Council in a factual manner. Hence the USA will attempt to take yhr matter with the UN directly. Both China and Russia will use their veto in any punitive move against Iran thereby styming American efforts to have sanctions imposed on Iran. This will be a defeat to the Bush doctrine of stopping nuclear proliferation. Any international attempt to[regulate the nulear fuel cycle will be met by recalcitrance. War and bloodshed is not the answer to such issues.