Will the Bush Administration succeed in its gameplan in the Middle East
In a recent article in the Washinton Post, BushJr was given an appropriate title: President of Fabricated Crises. Whenever the USA wants to flex its muscles in any part of the world a crisis is generated and acting on exaggerated inputs from field operatives a full fledged war is launched. We have seen the is Afghanistan, Iraq and now the President and his Secretary of State Rice are making familiar noises against Syria, Iran and North Korea. The recent assasination of Rafik Hariri has come in handy to browbeat Syria. The fact is that ASyria is hardly likely to carry out a brazen act of assaination when the eyes of thye whole world are trained on Damascus. A cynic is likely to ask:Whose interest does the killing serve.The answer is obvious. If Syria is forced to withdraw from Lebonon then we have Israel moving in and Aron Sharon is afterall the hero of Shattila Refugee Camp.
In Iraq itself the Bush Administration has brought the country dangerously close to civil war. The Sunnis have completely rejected the elections ans a deadly struggle for supremacy will begin. The best part of the whole Bush plan is that the ensuing instability will not subserve US interests in the region. Therefore carrying on with a policy of fabricated crisis is against US national interests.
WithIbrahim Jaffari emerging as the front runner Iran will have a great influence over Iraqi policy. Instead of containing Iran, Bush has presented a vastly enhanced stage for Shiaa influence.